A Basic Guide To The Fundamentals Of Probability Theory A Basic Guide To The Fundamentals Of Probability Theory November 16
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Some people can be cynical about mathematics and mathematic theories. They may wonder how it can be applied in day to day life. However the fundamentals of probability theory can be useful in a number of different ways, allowing people to analyze situations in ways that can benefit them.
On a basic level it is about measuring the likelihood of an event happen. This is measured from 0 to 1. 0 refers to something that cannot happen such as someone turning invisible if they eat chocolate cake. 1 refers to something that will certainly happen such as day following night.
A common example used is the toss of a coin. This is often considered to be a symbol of randomness with nobody ever really knowing what can happen and with no guarantee of results. However what on the surface appears to be a random process can actually be measured and gauged.
While it is true that you are unlikely to get an even amount of heads and tails what is true is that over time a pattern can emerge. This means that over a period of time heads will come up more often and then over another period tails will come up more often. Sometimes just to make things difficult the coin will land on edge. As you become aware of the pattern it increases the chances of knowing whether it will come up as heads or tails.
While it is very unlikely that you will get an exactly even amount of heads and tails this does not mean that a coin toss is completely random. Over time you can look at the patterns of the tosses and eventually be able to reasonably guess the next time a head or a tail comes up. This approach has been known to be used by people counting cards in casinos, although in recent years casinos have countered this by introducing more decks and thus making it a lot harder!
The way probability is measure on a scale of 0 to 1. 0 means something that cannot possibly happen while 1 is something that is certain. Most events will usually fall somewhere between the two. The sum of all possible events will always equal one because they are all the things that can potentially happen.
Over time you will then see the amount of times a day someone buys them. Therefore you know to have enough lattes for the people who like them at the start of the day, enough teas to cover the people who come in who do not want coffee and enough chocolate in to dust the cappuccinos. Equally you could use it to predict when it was likely to be sunny so you could get tables ready outside or when to put a sign out encouraging people to get out of the rain!
In short the fundamentals of probability theory are potentially very useful. You can find a number of courses and demonstrations online to show how they can apply to a wide number of situations. With the right approach you can learn how mathematics can work for you!
You can visit the website www.pathwaystoclearlearning for more helpful information about A Guide To The Fundamentals Of Probability Theory
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